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Wednesday 11 October 2017

UKIP’S AGONY


UKIP’S AGONY


So now we know! UKIP, I think rather to the surprise of all involved as well as all commentators, has elected the relatively unknown Henry Bolton with just 3,874 votes.


Mr Bolton had been UKIP’s Police Commissioner candidate in Kent, but apart from that his career track record had been in the army and the police and as a Liberal Democrat parliamentary candidate standing against Philip Hammond. He was also an EU apparatchik. His background is therefore somewhat surprising for the new Leader of UKIP!


Henry Bolton is the fourth Leader that UKIP has had in 18 months. Their chaotic leadership turbulence has undoubtedly contributed to their fragmentation from the highpoint of them being the main key to the ‘Leave’ vote in the EU referendum.


The public generally seems to think that UKIP’s job is done, judging by UKIP’s election results, but having 18 months of leadership turbulence cannot have helped. This can also be seen in the turnout levels in three leadership levels.


The turnout in the leadership election when they elected Diane James on 16th September 2016 was 17,842. The turnout on 28th November 2016 that elected Paul Nuttall was 15,370. The turnout that elected Henry Bolton on the 29th September 2017 was 12,915 votes.


Now the 2,755 members who voted for Anne Marie Walters and the 2,021 UKIP voters that voted for John Rees-Evans both look set to leave the Party along with both of their preferred leadership candidates.


This is not at all surprising given the insults which they have been subjected to by both Nigel Farage and Mr Bolton himself. If all their supporters leave it would be an exodus of 4,776 members.


I generally take it as the best possible measure of active membership within a party that every member of the party who still identifies themselves as a member of the Party and is engaged with the Party will vote in a leadership election. This is particularly so if, as in the case of UKIP, it was a postal ballot. There is little effort for the individual member in ticking a box and returning the form in the envelope provided, so almost all who care will do so.


It follows that shortly the engaged members of UKIP will be down to 8,139 which is below the 10,000 critical mass level required for maintaining a fully functional political party.


At that point UKIP’s only advantage over the English Democrats (with our 4,500 members) will be reduced to the difference in membership subscriptions and manpower and also the fact that they still have MEPs and other elected officials who are no doubt full time activists for the Party and contribute something to its running costs. Naturally most of those will go in mid-2019.


We may then be back to where we were before the UKIP surge in support in 2011/2012, when we generally beat them whenever we came across them especially where there was a reasonably level playing field. We also achieved much better results per pound than they were able to do. That was because the English Democrats were then clearly identified as the only political party standing up for England.


UKIP succeeded in initially pulling the wool over many peoples’ eyes and made them believe that they also stood up for English interests between 2012 and 2016. Now however it has become obvious, after their leadership elections in 2016 and 2017, that UKIP’s Leaders have rejected any pretence that they are interested in England, the English Nation or in English national issues.


The academic who has done most to study the rise of UKIP (and before that of the BNP) is Professor Matthew Goodwin of Kent University Canterbury. What his research shows and what he says himself is that there is space on the political spectrums for, in English politics what he would refer to, being himself of the Left, as a Radical Right party, similar to that of Marine Le Pen’s Front National.


It doesn’t appear from the remarks that Mr Bolton has made so far that he wants UKIP to be that party.


Mr Bolton has declared that he is not against immigration and, for that matter, he is not even against a transition period in the process of us leaving the European Union. He is therefore happy to not only wait to exit the European Union, but also to do so on the basis that Mrs May is currently talking about, that is continuing to make very substantial payments into the EU budget.


Mr Bolton also strongly attacked Anne Marie Walters and her followers as being racists and Nazis and of the BNP tendency.


Since Anne Marie Walters, although she is very much against Islam, does so from the militant Left/Liberal perspective of wishing to protect Gay Rights rather than as an advocate of the preservation of English traditions and traditional morality (which is not perhaps surprising given that she is of Irish origin and a Lesbian), it was clear that Mr Bolton’s intent on making those remarks wasn’t actually to describe Anne Marie Walters politics, but rather merely to smear her (given the Nazi regime’s record was of executing large numbers of homosexuals and others whom they called “degenerates”!).


If I am right and Mr Bolton’s leadership will take UKIP firmly back into the safe territory of British Establishment Politics, then I must say I really cannot see any future role or purpose for them at all.




10 comments:

  1. Ukip were successful in 2015 because they appeared to speak for the Engish working clas. EDP need to capitalise on this.

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  2. Well, they've done their job at least & whatever transpires from now on will be thanked for that Ref. Vote last year.
    Be generous,Robin :)

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  3. UKIP would still be a force had Nigel Farage remained as their leader. But he’s gone soft and so has UKIP. 17 million plus people are not represented in parliament. We need a voice and we need representation. TIme for EDP to step up to the plate.

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  4. UKIP will now become a rump of it's former self.

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  5. As a major influence in politics UKIP is finished and has been finished for some time. We need to move to the right. We saw AfD gain sizable support in germany and the right is moving upwards in many European countries. The ED are English Nationalists, to their credit, but we British nationalism in order to gain the support we need. The best party to fulfill that roll is of course The British National Party. Stop anyone in the street and ask ' name a British Nationalist Party' and the reply will always be the BNP. The best known of the right wing parties. The BNP has been steadily growing since the ousting of Nick Griffin and the fall of of UKIP. We should put our differences aside and support the BNP and really have a chance to take our country back. A good article Robin.

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  6. That referendum vote is looking increasingly a dead letter, and one which Henry Bolton (Bolitho?)seems content to watch turn to dust and blow away.

    UKIP still has a role, that of seeing the vote respected and implemented, since the job's not being fulfilled elsewhere.

    The 'divorce bill' is (principally) about the price to be paid for ongoing access for the City aka moneylenders to the European market. And that price if paid will include ongoing mass immigration, count on that. You can find corroboration of much in this hypothesis in the editorial on page 2 of CityAM for Tuesday 10 October.

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  7. This is all a bit depressing - chiefly the fact that Henry Bolton is a former Lib Dem. Not another plant I hope! I said I worried about him being ex-NATO and involved in the creation of the American base and drug peddling centre of Muslim Kosovo against Orthdox and pro-Russian Serbia.

    However, I am not wholly against UKIP as I think that it has been the only party to challenge the New World Order Marxist political establishment. No surprise about the City piling on the pressure with regard to Brexit. Trump's violent anti-Iran stance is now down to the fact that he has been surrounded by the Zionists controlling western foreign policy in the Middle East. Bibi's Israel is gagging for another war which they don't seem to care about being the War to end all Wars in a nuclear armageddon. The cynical amongst us wonder if because of his family and New York business connections he is another one hoodwinking the Christian West. Pleased to see that Stephen Morris underlined that we are still a Christian country in another tussle with the smug Southampton imam, Mo Ansar about a suggestion that Germany might have Muslim national holidays.

    The crisis of pluralism or multi-culturalism is reaching boiling point both in Europe and in North America. There is talk of a state of emergency being called because of a rally by a "Neo-nazi white supremacist" group in Florida. They are probably only those who wish to prevent the total eradication of what was until the 1960s an overwhelmingly white country as white minority status looms.

    Here, our terror level is unprecedented. But there is another thing which I will thank UKIP for. I listened to Nigel Farage on LBC last night from Marxist Los Angeles as due to mass immigration and a white minority California is now a Democrat stronghold whereas it was once the home of Republican president Ronald Reagan. Farage was talking about closing our borders completely to stop further terrorists sneaking in. But he revealed that despite not being in Schengen - where things are much worse - 125 illegal immigrants arrive clandestinely on lorries each day to join the 1m already here and nobody knows what their intentions are.

    But Farage also referred to the news yesterday that traffic jams are costing the country's economy £9b a year. He had once remarked on the fact that England is full and was shouted down. And yesterday we also heard that the NHS is at breaking point. Here in a rural area we are about to advertise for foreign doctors to make good a shortfall. Will they go home again once their contracts are finished having tasted the mega bucks here compared with back home?

    It is now becoming clear that unless we cover what is left of England - the most densely populated country in Europe - with more and more miles of roads and motorways then the country will grind to a halt. Surely now it is time for the government to bite on the bullet and offer financial inducements for those who have arrived since the War to return home. A bill is still on the statute book apparently. But the New World Order and the City and others bent on the end of Europeans and their civilisation will make it virtually impossible I suppose. Most of us see no alternative than civil war in the Europe and the US as being the ultimate outcome. The problem is that non-Europeans have increased 3 fold since the War whereas Europeans have largely remain static. And now there is talk of the world population rising to 10b. For God's sake somebody stop them breeding and swamping us.

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  8. I am very pleased with the elections results in the Czech Republic. A nation that was once Roman Catholic that has turned atheist has retained it will to protect its culture and identity. This is an interesting development. Either the established churches are flawed and fake or Gods hand of protection remains for those who wish to retain their national identity.

    Even if Christianity dies in England, there will still be patriots to carry English culture forward.

    So far only France has bucked the rightward trend, but even there Front National do have 8 MPs in the French Assembly.

    I am pleased AfD made an impression in Germany, have MPs in their Parliament and stopped Merkel getting an outright majority.

    Francis

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  9. Another thing on the divorce settlement and the City.

    "of the 455,000 workers in the Square Mile, 32% were born outside of the UK, with 12% originating from the EU."
    (source: citymatters.london, 4-10 Oct.)

    I wouldn't care so much if the City were exacting its usurious returns exclusively from the national product of countries outside the UK and paying UK taxes on such returns, but that isn't the case, is it? And from the above, nor is its contribution to the UK employment profile entirely as one might have expected.

    GS's Blankfein was muttering about more trips to Frankfurt looking likely in future, based on the non-"progress" of Brexit negotiations. Maybe if the mega banks all cleared off time would be ripe for a renewed campaign for monetary reform - and maybe even the return of Merrie England, which preceded the 1694 arrival of the Bank of "England" and the advances by UK banks of fictititous "money". (No Mr Peston, 100% match funding in the case of banks is not what happens, despite what you suggested contrariwise in your 2011 documentary on the 2008 banking crisis).

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    1. I was talking to our Dutch librarian about Stadhouder Willem 3 van Oranje, William of Orange to the English. She said that he brought Holland's brightest and best to England with him and enabled the British to steal a march on the Dutch where world empires were concerned. I said that he also brought the bankers from Amsterdam - no mention of their ethnic origins - who played a role in the creation of the stock exchance and the Bank of England. I have always thought this was the case but am prepared to stand corrected. I assume that England was seen as a safer place to create the financial capital of the world, rather than somewhere on the continent with no sea to act as a firewall. In which case, I would be more than happy to see them all decamp to Frankfurt and let us have our manufacturing back. Much the same thing has happened to New York where the rentiers rule. As somebody pointed out, the City is not part of England but an independent city state like the Vatican or Washington. They thus render themselves immune to attack. And certainly the Vatican and the City have big money and corruption in common. As we approach the 500th anniversary of the Reformation we must be grateful to Luther for tackling the corruption of Rome and could do with him again. The downside was that his actions unleashed blood letting on a massive scale as the North revolted against Holy Roman Rule. But this had more to do with power grabbing or retaining than the World of God. As regards the Czech Republic, I wonder whether the Church there now is as strong as in the rest of Eastern Europe and Russia as we approach the final battle between St Michael and All Angels, the patron saint of Moscow and the devil who lives in New York City and those other centres of financial control in the now Satanic West.

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