Re: Disappointment in Southend West
One of the few pluses of the By-election was the collapse in the Conservative Party vote which dropped from 27,555 in the December 2019 General Election to 12,792, a reduction of 14,753 votes. A drop in their vote by well over half demands an explanation; especially when not faced with any of their “Mainstream” British Political Establishment opponents and is after a very big electioneering spend on their part with at least six leaflet drops.
In a Parliamentary By-election the candidates are notionally allowed to spend up to £100,000 on the By-election. Obviously rich parties, like the Conservatives, are well able to actually spend that amount and may have done so in this By-election. Yet they got a shockingly low vote. They got below 20% of the votes of the 66,354 registered electors in Southend West!
Such a dramatic drop in actual voters for the Conservative Party in a seat like Southend West cannot just be about the current temporary troubles in the Conservative Party.
The result might be partly a product of all the candidates’ leaflets attacking the Conservative Party record, particularly on immigration and also well publicized leafleting by Patriotic Alternative highlighting the Conservative’s truly abysmal and dishonest record on immigration.
So what we got with the results is an illustration of how negative campaigning against the Conservative Party can be highly effective. We have also seen this in the “shock” By-election results in Chesham & Amersham and Shropshire North, where the Lib Dems campaigned negatively to discourage Conservative voters and also managed to focus opposition voting on them.
In Southend West, as there was no “Progressive” candidate, that did not work, but the results do demonstrate that the dominance of the Establishment parties is now more fragile than it has been for many decades.
The results are in stark contrast to what happened in the Batley & Spen By-election after Jo Cox was killed by a mentally disturbed young man, where the Labour vote held up after a campaign with very little negative campaigning. I wonder if the same would now happen with a well targeted attack on Labour’s anti-White Working Class, multiculturalist agenda?
I also noticed that yet again the Mainstream Media, Wikipedia, etc. all focus on reporting percentages rather than actual numbers. This gives a false and deliberately misleading impression of voting patterns, leaving people to potentially suppose that the support for the Conservative Party had actually risen, which of course it did in percentage of voter terms, but collapsed in terms of the numbers of voters viz a viz the number of votes.
For our side we now need to concentrate on developing a more effective strategy of attracting the voters to vote for us, as we now seem to have got a basis of strategy to discourage voters for voting for the Mainstream parties.