WHAT LESSONS ARE THERE FROM THE WAKEFIELD PARLIAMENTARY BY-ELECTION?

 

 

WHAT LESSONS ARE THERE FROM THE WAKEFIELD PARLIAMENTARY BY-ELECTION?

 

Therese Hirst stood in the Wakefield Parliamentary By-election for the English Democrats.  We did a full Royal Mail leaflet drop and some further leafleting and canvassing.  The turnout was poor, at just short of 40%. 

 

Although our vote of 135 votes sounds unimpressive, it is worth bearing in mind that we did beat UKIP who had 124 votes, who seemed, from what we could see, to have done a lot more canvassing and had an active media presence.  We also beat a few others of the long list of candidates. 

 

Our cost per vote was a bit more expensive than we are used to at £17.94, but it is worth comparing that with the Britain First candidate, Ashlea Simon, who with her 311 votes, according to what they have said over the internet, Britain First paid over £96.46 per vote!  (Rumour has it that this might actually have been even worse at £160 per vote!).

 

The Reform Party and the Liberal Democrats may have spent even more per vote, as both of those may have spent the full allowance of £100,000 to get 513 and 508 respectively! 

 

Both of those parties suffered dramatic losses in the numbers of people voting for them.  In the 2019 General Election the Brexit Party (now called Reform), got 2,725 votes and the Lib Dems got 1,772 votes. 

 

The only winner of the day, in terms of increasing their number of votes, was the Yorkshire Party (Lib Dems in mufti) who went from 868 votes in 2019 to 1,182 votes in this By-election. 

 

The interesting fact about the Labour and Conservative vote is that Labour is not on track to rebuild its “Red Wall” at all, contrary to what the Mainstream Media has been saying. 

 

The Labour vote went from 17,925 in 2019 to 13,166 in this recent By-election.  That is a drop of 4,759 votes when the Conservatives had not only put up last time a tokenist Pakistani Muslim candidate, who turned out to be a homosexual paedophile and alcoholic. Also this time they had put up another Pakistani Muslim in a constituency where there are relatively few Pakistani Muslims but is not far from Bradford or Rotherham and therefore white working class voters are aware of what has been going on there.

 

From their candidate selection you would almost think that the Conservatives wanted to lose that seat.  Maybe they actually did because of course the Conservatives need Labour to exist so that they can continue to say on the doorstep that people cannot vote for what they really support because they might let Labour in! 

 

The Conservatives were duly punished with a drop of their vote from 2019 of 21,283 down to 8,241. 

 

That dramatic drop and the decline in the percentage of people voting actually suggests that the majority of those who voted Conservative in 2019 did not go back to Labour and Labour may have permanently lost them. 

 

Whilst this did not give us much comfort in this By-election what it does suggest is that the “Red Wall” voters are still very much up for grabs if any one patriotic party can break free of the pack.  I remain of the view that it is English nationalism which will surge when that time comes. 

 

We are of course entering very choppy economic waters and it maybe that will wake people up and make the electoral system more fluid than it has been since the War.

 

 

CHESHAM AND AMERSHAM BY-ELECTION RESULTS ANALYSED

CHESHAM AND AMERSHAM BY-ELECTION RESULTS ANALYSED

 

I have listened and read Mainstream Media comments and analysis about the Chesham and Amersham By-Election result, in which the Conservative and Labour parties were thrust aside by the Liberal Democrats.  The striking thing about all of this is its lack of honest and/or competent analysis.

 

It is suggested that large numbers of Conservative voters transferred their vote and voted for the Liberal Democrats in order to vote against HS2 and against development on the Green Belt around Chesham and Amersham. This is a wholly unbelievable and fantastical analysis.

 

The first point to make is that the Liberal Democrats would be very unlikely beneficiaries of such a vote shift, since they are, as a Party, in favour of HS2.  They are also in favour of the Mass Immigration, which has resulted in 15 million or so migrants coming into the country and led to the demand to now build, in effect, two Greater Londons in the South East of England.  All three of the LibLabCon British Establishment parties are equally complicit in the mass immigration agenda, as are the Greens (aka “Communists”?) who are even more enthusiastic about there being “No Borders”. 

 

The second point to consider is that for those of us who have done any actual canvassing (which seems, on the basis of what has passed for analysis, as if that excludes all those who have vented their opinions) would know that it is highly unlikely that large numbers of Conservative voters would vote for any other party.

 

The third point to note is that all of the Mainstream Media analysis seems to be based upon no analysis of the actual voting figures and is almost entirely fact free. 

 

I have compared the 2019 General Election results in Chesham and Amersham and the 2021 By-election results which I think vividly show that the two main things which happened in the By-election are as follows:-

 

1.    The “Progressive”/Leftist/openly Multi-culturalist, Green, Liberal Democrats and Labour votes remained remarkably similar in number in both elections.  The difference in the By-Election, is that the Liberal Democrats were successful in getting most of those voters to vote for them. 

2.    The next thing that is strikingly obvious is that there was a dramatic decline in the percentage of turnout.  The reduced numbers of those who voted closely correlates with the reduced Conservative vote.

 

These results strongly corroborate the idea that the Liberal Democrats’ campaign strategy was highly successful, but not in the way reported in the Mainstream Media. 

 

The Liberal Democrats seem to have adopted a two-pronged strategy.  The first to persuade all of the Leftist voters to vote for them and secondly to demotivate the Conservative voters.

 

As usual, of course, we have had some ridiculous comments about majorities of votes in the Media.  The figures of course don’t bear out any idea that there has actually been a Majority, since the Liberal Democrats got 21,517 votes out of a total electorate of 72,828, which is, of course, just under 30% of the electorate.  In what world of mathematical illiteracy would under 30% be called a Majority? That is if it wasn’t politically expedient to do so!

 

I think it is interesting and informative to see that the actual percentage of “Progressive” voters, within even a comfortably prosperous, quite middle class commuter area like Chesham and Amersham, is less than 30%. 

 

Compare this with the proportion of the electorate in most of England who showed themselves to still be patriotic by voting for “Leave” in the European Referendum. 

 

In most constituencies in England over 50% of the electorate voted for “Leave”.  This suggests an election winning strategy for patriots which is the mirror of the Liberal Democrats’ one, i.e. suppress the Progressive vote and aim to focus the Patriotic voter on one candidate. 

 

Interestingly, as the Liberal Democrats have been the focus of success in this case, that shows that this candidate no longer needs to be one of the two principal British Political Establishment parties. 

 

It also shows that Conservative voters are in a transitional period of weakening loyalty to the Conservative Party. 

 

This is perfectly rational, since the Conservative Party nationally does not stand for anything that any sensible conservative minded voter would actually personally support. 

 

Any signs of the dissolution of the Conservative/Labour stranglehold on English politics can only be strongly welcomed by any real patriot!

 

Here is the actual numbers compared between the two election results in Chesham and Amersham:-

 

 

CHESHAM & AMERSHAM – RESULTS COMPARED 2019/2021

 

GENERAL ELECTION – 2019

 

14,627                    Liberal Democrats votes             

  7,166                    Labour votes

  3,042                    Green votes

______

24,835                    Total “progressive” votes

                    (Conservative votes 30,850)

 

(No other candidates)

 

55,978                    Total vote

76.8%           Turnout

 

 

BY ELECTION 17.6.21

21,517          Liberal Democrats votes             

     622                    Labour votes

  1480           Green votes

______

23,619                    Total “progressive” votes (plus c.800 split among other candidates)

                    (Conservative votes           13,489)

 

37,954                    Total votes cast

52%             Turnout

 

 

COMPARISON OF VOTER TURNOUT

 

18,020                    Fewer votes overall

17,361                    Fewer Conservative votes